Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Falkenberg		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.66	Watch
	4.4	4.1	1.67
	4.9	4	1.68	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.68
	4.93	4.03	1.72
	4.75	3.8	1.7
	4.75	3.98	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↓ (4.83)	3.95 ↓ (4.04)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
20.2%

Draw
23.9%

Djurgården
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.3%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

19.3%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Djurgården could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	11.5%	80.8%

Falkenberg - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: Djurgården will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Falkenbergs has a good chance of relegated (85%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Djurgården has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Falkenbergs is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Djurgården is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Djurgården could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Djurgården is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Falkenbergs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 3-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Falkenbergs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.10.20	Kalmar - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Falkenberg - Örebro	2:1 ✺
03.10.20	Häcken - Falkenberg	3:0 ✺
27.09.20	Falkenberg - Hammarby	1:3 ✺
21.09.20	Sirius - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLL
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.10.20	Häcken - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
24.10.20	Djurgården - Sirius	4:0 ✺
19.10.20	Djurgården - Malmö	3:2 ✺
04.10.20	Hammarby - Djurgården	1:1 ✺
27.09.20	Djurgården - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
15.07.20	Djurgården - Falkenberg	1:0
24.09.19	Djurgården - Falkenberg	1:0
15.05.19	Falkenberg - Djurgården	0:3
11.09.16	Falkenberg - Djurgården	1:2
07.04.16	Djurgården - Falkenberg	5:0
24.10.15	Falkenberg - Djurgården	0:2
29.04.15	Djurgården - Falkenberg	3:1

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