Match Info

Date: 21 September 2020, Monday


	Sirius		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.7	4	4.33
	1.7	4.1	4.6	Watch
	1.73	3.85	4.2
	1.76	4.13	4.56
	1.73	3.9	4.4	Watch
	1.78	4.1	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	4.04 ↓ (4.13)	4.36 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirius
54.8%

Draw
23.5%

Falkenberg
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

18.9%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sirius, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkenberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.4%	11.6%	20.9%

Sirius - Falkenberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 29 - 67.4%). Falkenberg will win (votes: 9 - 20.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 53.4% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation to Superettan).

Sirius has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Falkenbergs has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sirius is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Falkenbergs is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Falkenbergs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sirius is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sirius won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sirius won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.20	Häcken - Sirius	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	Varbergs BoIS - Sirius	2:0 ✺
22.08.20	Sirius - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
17.08.20	Helsingborg - Sirius	1:2 ✺
13.08.20	Sirius - Helsingborg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLWWW
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.09.20	Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
13.09.20	Falkenberg - IFK Göteborg	0:3 ✺
29.08.20	IFK Östersunds - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
23.08.20	Malmö - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
16.08.20	Falkenberg - AIK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
02.07.20	Falkenberg - Sirius	1:2
13.09.19	Sirius - Falkenberg	2:0
24.04.19	Falkenberg - Sirius	0:0
08.11.15	Falkenberg - Sirius	1:1
05.11.15	Sirius - Falkenberg	2:2

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