Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)


	Falkenberg		GAIS

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.2
	3.3	3	2.2
	2.95	3	2.29
	3.28	3.03	2.33
	3.13	3.13	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.6)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	2.25 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
29.2%

Draw
30.2%

GAIS
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falkenberg's form might have worsened.

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falkenberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Falkenberg - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Falkenberg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). GAIS will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Falkenbergs won 0.

Recent matches Falkenbergs is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GAIS is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

GAIS will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Falkenbergs won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Falkenbergs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
26.05.22	Falkenberg - Olympic	1:1 ✺
21.05.22	Qviding - Falkenberg	0:4 ✺
14.05.22	Falkenberg - Oskarshamn	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Lindome - Falkenberg	1:0 ✺
02.05.22	Trollhättan - Falkenberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLL
- GAIS
Swedish Division 1 Södra
26.05.22	GAIS - Oskarshamn	3:0 ✺
20.05.22	Lindome - GAIS	1:3 ✺
14.05.22	GAIS - Lunds	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	GAIS - Torn	5:1 ✺
30.04.22	Ängelholm - GAIS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.02.22	GAIS - Falkenberg	2:0
Swedish Superettan
25.09.21	GAIS - Falkenberg	0:0
10.04.21	Falkenberg - GAIS	0:1
Club Friendly
13.02.21	GAIS - Falkenberg	1:1
Swedish Superettan
10.11.18	Falkenberg - GAIS	0:2
15.04.18	GAIS - Falkenberg	0:2
05.08.17	GAIS - Falkenberg	1:1

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