The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Falkenberg 36.4%
Draw 28.8%
Varbergs BoIS 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
27.1%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
25.9%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falkenberg's form might have worsened.
Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falkenberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varbergs BoIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Falkenberg will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Varberg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Falkenberg: 4% – 71%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 6. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 19. Lindberg O. 28. Nilsson M. 18. Sangare L. 30. Aguda G. 9. Andersson A. 14. Videhult W.
1. Ekman O. (G) 15. Johansson N. 2. Broman G. 17. Tellgren E. 22. Dahlstrom N. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 12. Nioule S.
Substitutes
25. Alexandersson G. 21. Beqiri L. 22. Fritiofsson T. 5. Hansson N. 44. Hassan A. (G) 2. Johansson G. 29. Komano H. 17. Miftari A. 10. Mohammad E.
9. Bitiqi A. 42. Kordik M. 19. Nilsson J. 40. Selven W. 29. Strindholm D. (G) 16. Thorsson A. 20. Werner O. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Andersson C.
Salwen V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Vidjeskog I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 0 - 1, Borgelin S. ⚽, Dahlstrom N. (A),
58', Andersson A. 🟨,
58', Aguda G. ↓, Mohammad E. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Winbo A. ⚽, Johansson N. (A),
70', Sangare L. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,
70', Videhult W. ↓, Komano H. ↑,
79', Vidjeskog I. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,
81', Sadiku E. 🟨,
84', Salo A. ↓, Miftari A. ↑,
84', Borgstrom L. ↓, Beqiri L. ↑,
86', Borgelin S. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
86', Arlig W. ↓, Nilsson J. ↑,
86', Nioule S. ↓, Thorsson A. ↑,
87', Hansson N. 🟨,
90+4', Winbo A. ↓, Kordik M. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 3, Nilsson J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 2.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Falkenberg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now
Falkenberg: 5.63% Varberg: 0.34%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Falkenberg
25
13
6
6
46:33
13
45
3
Varberg
25
13
5
7
44:33
11
44
Last Results with these Odds
Varbergs BoIS - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.