Match Info

Superettan - Round 25

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Falkenberg		Östersund

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.00	2.80
	2.40	3.00	2.90
	2.38	3.10	2.75
	2.61	3.07	3.22
	2.37	3.08	3.16	Watch
	2.55	2.80	3.15
	2.42	3.16	2.94	Watch
	2.39	2.95	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)	3.02 ↓ (3.35)	2.98 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
38.2%

Draw
30.7%

Östersund
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Östersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Falkenberg - Östersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Falkenberg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Östersund (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Östersund (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 6. Borgstrom L. 17. Miftari A. 23. Salo A. (C) 12. Rupia-Ellis A. 19. Lindberg O. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 10. Mohammad E. 11. Kallstrom H. 9. Andersson A.	12. Forsell R. (G) 19. Widgren D. (C) 14. Anyanwu S. 3. Azzi H. 27. Miljanovic D. 8. Ozkan E. 16. Begic A. 17. Edwards C. 28. Adjoumani Y. 10. Marklund S. 18. Palomino M.
Substitutes
25. Alexandersson G. 21. Beqiri L. 8. Bertilsson N. 5. Hansson N. 29. Komano H. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 18. Sangare L. 4. Stalheden T. 14. Videhult W.	22. Ali J. 21. Bozickovic L. 6. Masllorens J. 15. Molls D. 7. Odenlind G. 5. Qasem A. A. 9. Stensrud A. 1. Uppenberg M. (G)
Coaches
Andersson C.	Miljanovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Miljanovic D. ↓, Qasem A. A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Edwards C. ↓, Molls D. ↑,
71', Nilsson M. ↓, Bertilsson N. ↑,
71', Rupia-Ellis A. ↓, Sangare L. ↑,
81', Beqiri L. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

In recent outings, Falkenberg has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Östersund is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Falkenberg has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Falkenberg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Falkenberg: 5.63% Ostersund: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Falkenberg	25	13	6	6	46:33	13	45
4	Ostersund	25	11	10	4	33:24	9	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
13.09.26	Ljungskile - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Falkenberg - Öster	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Oddevold - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Falkenberg - Brage	4:1 ✺
24.08.26	Norrköping - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL
- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
14.09.26	Östersund - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Östersund - Brage	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Örebro - Östersund	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Landskrona - Östersund	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Östersund - Ljungskile	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
09.05.26	Östersund - Falkenberg	2:2
28.09.25	Falkenberg - Östersund	4:0
19.07.25	Östersund - Falkenberg	3:1
13.11.22	Östersund - Falkenberg	2:0
10.11.22	Falkenberg - Östersund	1:1

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