Match Info

Premiership - Championship Group - Round 35

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk)

Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)


	Falkirk		Motherwell

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.6
	2.88	3.35	2.38	Watch
	3.06	3.55	2.4
	2.77	3.48	2.47	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.93	3.56	2.39	Watch
	2.85	3.55	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 (2.85)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)	2.41 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkirk
33.2%

Draw
27.5%

Motherwell
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Falkirk - Motherwell Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hogarth N. (G) 28. Lissah F. 15. Neilson L. 20. Allan C. 3. McCann L. 8. Spencer B. (C) 21. Tait D. 11. Broggio B. 14. Yeats F. 29. Miller C. 16. Stewart B.	13. Ward C. (G) 7. Sparrow T. 16. McGinn P. (C) 57. Welsh S. 2. O'Donnell S. 12. Fadinger L. 20. Watt E. 18. Maswanhise T. 8. Slattery C. 45. Longelo E. 21. Just E.
Substitutes
2. Adams K. 17. Cartwright H. 6. Donaldson C. 7. Graham B. 35. Hastings J. (G) 9. MacIver R. 27. Parkinson B. 23. Ross E. 22. Wilson K.	77. Charles-Cook R. 4. Gordon L. 66. Hendry C. 22. Koutroumbis J. 31. Matty Connelly (G) 19. Nicholson S. 25. Priestman O. 28. Ross L. 90. Said I.
Coaches
McGlynn J.	Askou J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Broggio B. 🟨,
29', Spencer B. 🟨,
35', Sparrow T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Slattery C. 🟨,
56', Tait D. 🟨,
62', Sparrow T. ↓, Said I. ↑,
62', Tait D. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Cartwright H. ⚽, Broggio B. (A),
75', Yeats F. 🟨,
75', Broggio B. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
76', Miller C. ↓, Parkinson B. ↑,
76', Maswanhise T. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
77', Slattery C. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
77', Fadinger L. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
84', McCann L. ↓, Donaldson C. ↑,
85', Lissah F. ↓, Adams K. ↑,
88', Longelo E. 🟨,
90+1', Hendry C. 🟨,
90+2', Just E. 🟨,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Motherwell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Falkirk: Bain S. (Inactive) Henderson L. (Inactive) Lissah F. (Inactive) Marsh L. (Thigh Injury) Williams E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Motherwell: Bjorgolfsson E. (Muscle Injury) Koutroumbis J. (Calf Injury) Robinson Z. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Motherwell: Welsh S. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Falkirk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Motherwell: 0.33% Falkirk: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Motherwell	8	2	2	4	9:13	-4	8
11	Falkirk	8	1	3	4	7:11	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Motherwell - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
25.04.26	Celtic - Falkirk	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.04.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Falkirk	1:0 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
12.04.26	Falkirk - Glasgow Rangers	3:6 ✺
04.04.26	Motherwell - Falkirk	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Falkirk - St. Mirren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL
- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
26.04.26	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Hearts - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Motherwell - Falkirk	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Motherwell - Hibernian	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Celtic - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
04.04.26	Motherwell - Falkirk	2:3
03.12.25	Falkirk - Motherwell	0:0
18.10.25	Motherwell - Falkirk	1:2

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