Match Info

Premiership - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Easter Road (Edinburgh)

Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)


	Hibernian		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.95	Watch
	1.66	3.99	5.44
	1.63	4.04	5.25	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5
	1.62	3.92	5.12	Watch
	1.62	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	3.94 ↓ (3.97)	5.18 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hibernian
57.9%

Draw
23.9%

Falkirk
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Falkirk aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Hibernian - Falkirk Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Falkirk will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sallinger R. (G) 5. O'Hora W. 33. Bushiri R. 15. Iredale J. 12. Cadden Ch. 20. Mulligan J. 22. Barlaser D. 14. Chaiwa M. 17. McGrath J. 10. Boyle M. (C) 9. Bowie K.	19. Bain S. (G) 20. Allan C. 28. Lissah F. 5. Henderson L. 3. McCann L. 24. Williams E. 8. Spencer B. (C) 29. Miller C. 21. Tait D. 23. Ross E. 7. Graham B.
Substitutes
32. Campbell J. 4. Hanley G. 23. Hoilett J. 6. Levitt D. 27. Megwa K. 24. Mitchell Z. 11. Newell J. 13. Smith J. (G) 7. Youan T.	11. Agyeman A. 37. Arfield S. 17. Cartwright H. 25. Edwards R. 42. Hart S. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 22. Wilson K. 14. Yeats F.
Coaches
Gray D.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Tait D. 🟨,
24', McCann L. 🟨,
30', Miller C. 🟨,
34', Lissah F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Boyle M. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 2 - 0, Bowie K. ⚽, Mulligan J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Graham B. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
46', Tait D. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
76', Williams E. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
77', Boyle M. ↓, Youan T. ↑,
77', Allan C. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
77', Ross E. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
77', Barlaser D. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
77', Chaiwa M. ↓, Newell J. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Bowie K. ⚽, Campbell J. (A),
85', Bowie K. 🟨,
85', Cadden Ch. ↓, Megwa K. ↑,
88', Bowie K. ↓, Levitt D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 2.

Hibernian has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Falkirk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Falkirk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hibernian is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hibernian: Hoilett J. (Knock) Molotnikov R. (Injury)

There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C. (Groin Injury) Lang T. (Foot Injury) MacIver R. (Injury) Neilson L. (Ankle Injury) Oliver G. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Hibernian: Obita J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Falkirk: Adams K. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
30.11.25	Hibernian - Celtic	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Motherwell - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Hibernian - Dundee	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	St. Mirren - Hibernian	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Livingston - Hibernian	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWT
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
03.12.25	Falkirk - Motherwell	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Falkirk	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Dundee United - Falkirk	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Falkirk - Livingston	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Falkirk - Kilmarnock	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
23.09.25	Falkirk - Hibernian	2:2
Scottish League Cup
12.07.22	Falkirk - Hibernian	1:0
Scottish Football Championship
25.03.17	Hibernian - Falkirk	2:1
31.12.16	Falkirk - Hibernian	1:2
12.11.16	Hibernian - Falkirk	1:1
06.08.16	Falkirk - Hibernian	1:2
Scottish Premier League
13.05.16	Falkirk - Hibernian	3:2

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