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Current Win Probability
Motherwell 48.1%
Draw 27.1%
Hibernian 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
26.5%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
26.2%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Motherwell - Hibernian Predictions
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ward C. (G) 2. O'Donnell S. 16. McGinn P. (C) 57. Welsh S. 7. Sparrow T. 20. Watt E. 12. Fadinger L. 25. Priestman O. 8. Slattery C. 21. Just E. 18. Maswanhise T.
1. Sallinger R. (G) 5. O'Hora W. 33. Bushiri R. 21. Obita J. 25. Passlack F. 22. Barlaser D. 14. Chaiwa M. 19. Cadden N. 17. McGrath J. 10. Boyle M. (C) 77. Suto A.
Substitutes
15. Bjorgolfsson E. 4. Gordon L. 11. Halliday A. 31. Matty Connelly (G) 39. McAllister Z. 6. McGhee J. 19. Nicholson S. 28. Ross L. 90. Said I.
28. Andrews K. 12. Cadden Ch. 32. Campbell J. 47. Elding O. 4. Hanley G. 15. Iredale J. 11. Newell J. 44. Scarlett D. 13. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Askou J.
Gray D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', McGrath J. 🟨,
44', Barlaser D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Suto A. 🟨,
65', Watt E. 🟨,
66', Priestman O. ↓, Said I. ↑,
67', Boyle M. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
68', Suto A. ↓, Elding O. ↑,
69', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
76', Sparrow T. 🟨,
86', Sparrow T. ↓, McGhee J. ↑,
86', McGrath J. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
86', Chaiwa M. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
86', Just E. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
90+5', Bjorgolfsson E. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ))
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Hibernian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Motherwell has had a series of away games.
In this match, Motherwell is the team to beat.
There will not play in Motherwell: Hendry C.
(Injury)
Koutroumbis J.
(Injury)
Longelo E.
(Red Card)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Hibernian: Hanley G.
(Injury)
Mulligan J.
(Injury)
Obita J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Motherwell: Just E.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
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Ward C. (G) 
O'Donnell S. 
Sparrow T. 
Fadinger L. 
Priestman O. 
Just E. 
Maswanhise T. 
O'Hora W. 
Bushiri R. 
Obita J. 
Passlack F. 
Chaiwa M. 
Suto A. 
Bjorgolfsson E. 
Said I. 
Askou J. 
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