The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kilmarnock 32.7%
Draw 26.3%
Motherwell 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.5%
25.8%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
26.3%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Kilmarnock - Motherwell Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ferrie C. (G) 3. Kamara M. 4. McCarthy C. 14. Stanger G. 21. Schjonning-Larsen M. 49. Rice B. 18. Lowery T. 8. Ring E. 10. John-Jules T. 11. Kiltie G. (C) 9. Hugill J.
1. Paulsen A. (G) 7. Sparrow T. 2. O'Donnell S. (C) 5. Moormann M. 45. Longelo E. 8. Fadinger L. 71. Hodge J. 18. Maswanhise T. 11. Lowry A. 19. Said I. 47. Palmer-Houlden S.
Substitutes
2. Brandon J. 20. Clescenco N. 29. Daniels D. 6. Deas R. 58. Mantl N. (G) 19. Meier J. 5. O'Hara M. 27. Owen I. 36. Tshibola A.
15. Bjorgolfsson E. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 13. Kanga J. 4. Knight-Lebel J. 22. Koutroumbis J. 63. Levitt D. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 6. McGhee J. 77. Vogt W.
Coaches
McCann N.
Johansson A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Kiltie G. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Lowry A. ⚽,
33', Kamara M. ↓, Brandon J. ↑,
35', Rice B. ↓, Tshibola A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Stanger G. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, John-Jules T. ⚽, Brandon J. (A),
68', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
68', Lowry A. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
68', Moormann M. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Kiltie G. ⚽, Brandon J. (A),
75', Fadinger L. ↓, Levitt D. ↑,
77', Kiltie G. ↓, Owen I. ↑,
77', John-Jules T. ↓, Daniels D. ↑,
81', Sparrow T. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
Kilmarnock has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Motherwell has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Motherwell holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Motherwell: Hendry C.
(Knee Injury)
McGinn P.
(Knee Injury)
Williams D.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Motherwell: Koutroumbis J.
(Calf Injury)
Priestman O.
(Calf Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:28 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kilmarnock against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Motherwell
10
2
2
6
11:18
-7
8
11
Kilmarnock
10
2
2
6
10:23
-13
8
Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now
Motherwell: 0.25% Kilmarnock: 0.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Motherwell - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.76%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.