The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kilmarnock 29.4%
Draw 28.1%
Motherwell 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
28.4%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
28.4%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
10%
90%
Kilmarnock - Motherwell Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 71.4% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Oluwayemi T. (G) 4. Williams Z. 5. Mayo L. 6. Deas R. (C) 15. Brown J. 12. Watson D. 18. Lowery T. 3. Thompson D. 19. Anderson B. 11. Kiltie G. 17. Tiffoney S.
13. Ward C. (G) 22. Koutroumbis J. 16. McGinn P. (C) 57. Welsh S. 45. Longelo E. 18. Maswanhise T. 20. Watt E. 8. Slattery C. 12. Fadinger L. 66. Hendry C. 90. Said I.
Substitutes
30. Beach E. (G) 26. Brannan B. 9. Dackers M. 24. John-Jules T. 8. Lyons B. 7. McKenzie R. 31. Polworth L. 14. Stanger G. 23. Watkins M.
5. Balmer K. 77. Charles-Cook R. 4. Gordon L. 21. Just E. 31. Matty Connelly (G) 25. Priestman O. 28. Ross L. 7. Sparrow T. 9. Stamatelopoulos A.
Coaches
Kettlewell S.
Askou J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Lowery T. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Maswanhise T. ⚽, Longelo E. (A),
21', Koutroumbis J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Maswanhise T. ⚽,
45+2', Hendry C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lowery T. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Tiffoney S. ⚽, Anderson B. (A),
57', Slattery C. 🟨,
63', Hendry C. ↓, Stamatelopoulos A. ↑,
63', Longelo E. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
63', Slattery C. ↓, Just E. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Stamatelopoulos A. (Pen),
71', Anderson B. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
71', Kiltie G. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
76', Maswanhise T. ↓, Sparrow T. ↑,
78', Williams Z. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
78', Brown J. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
81', Stamatelopoulos A. 🟨,
85', Gordon L. 🟨,
89', Fadinger L. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
Kilmarnock has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Motherwell has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in Motherwell: McGhee J.
(Thigh Injury)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
O'Donnell S.
(Injury)
Oxborough A.
(Hand Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
Sule E.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Lyons B.
(Injury)
We predict that Motherwell will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Motherwell - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.73%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.