Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Fano		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.27	2.96	2.99
	2.28	2.97	2.99
	2.2	3	2.88
	2.24	3.02	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.77)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	2.98 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
39.8%

Draw
30.1%

Vigor Senigallia
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fano's performance.

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vigor Senigallia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vigor Senigallia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 6).

Recent matches Fano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vigor Senigallia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.11.23	Campobasso - Fano	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Fano - L Aquila	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Chieti - Fano	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Fano - Matese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Fano - Sambenedettese	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLTWW
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.11.23	Vigor Senigallia - Roma City	2:2 ✺
01.11.23	Tivoli Calcio - Vigor Senigallia	0:5 ✺
29.10.23	Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Vigor Senigallia - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Campobasso - Vigor Senigallia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
21.05.23	Vigor Senigallia - Fano	0:1
02.04.23	Fano - Vigor Senigallia	0:1
20.11.22	Vigor Senigallia - Fano	3:0

Fano - Vigor Senigallia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide