Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mes Sungun		Fard Alborz

	1	X	2
	3.95	2.57	2.25	Watch
	3.85	2.53	2.24	Watch
	3.8	2.54	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.2)	2.55 ↓ (2.6)	2.23 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Sungun
23.5%

Draw
35.7%

Fard Alborz
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.6%

34.9%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

34.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Sungun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Fard Alborz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Sungun than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fard Alborz than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Mes Sungun - Fard Alborz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent form of Mes Sungun has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fard has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Fard is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mes Sungun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fard	7	3	2	2	9:6	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Sungun FSC
Iran Division 1
02.02.26	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Sungun	5:0 ✺
27.01.26	Mes Sungun - Ario Eslamshahr	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Havadar - Mes Sungun	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Mes Sungun - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWLL
- Fard Alborz
Iran Division 1
02.02.26	Fard Alborz - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Fard Alborz	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Fard Alborz - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Fard Alborz - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Fard Alborz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
17.09.25	Fard Alborz - Mes Sungun	2:0

Mes Sungun - Fard Alborz