Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 20

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Farnham Town		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	6.25
	1.36	4.75	6.1
	1.34	4.97	6.62
	1.37	5.11	6.84	Watch
	1.3	4.95	7.8
	1.32	5.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)	4.98 ↑ (4.35)	6.77 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnham Town
68.2%

Draw
18.4%

Yate Town
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

20.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

21.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farnham Town's performance.

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yate Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farnham Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yate Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Farnham Town - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Jackson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Sanders D. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Dean O. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Dean O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Farnham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yate is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Farnham has had a series of away games.

In this match, Farnham is considered a favorite.

We predict that Farnham will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Farnham: 2.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnham Town
English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Weymouth - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Yate Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Farnham Town - Uxbridge	4:1 ✺
20.01.26	Hungerford Town - Farnham Town	2:7 ✺
17.01.26	Farnham Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWT
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Walton & Hersham - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Yate Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Bracknell Town - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Yate Town - Hungerford Town	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Yate Town - Farnham Town	0:1

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