Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Uxbridge		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.85	3.75
	1.95	3.77	3.25
	1.69	4.05	4.20	Watch
	1.7	3.88	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)	3.89 ↓ (4.05)	3.78 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uxbridge
52.1%

Draw
23.6%

Yate Town
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

22.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

21.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uxbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uxbridge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Uxbridge - Yate Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
83', 1 - 1, Jackson M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Hopper L. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Mannings R. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 18).

Uxbridge is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Uxbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uxbridge is considered a favorite.

We predict that Uxbridge will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Uxbridge	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Uxbridge - Gloucester City	4:3 ✺
25.10.25	Evesham United - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Uxbridge	3:3 ✺
14.10.25	Uxbridge - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWTW
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Weymouth - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tiverton Town - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Yate Town - Walton & Hersham	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Wimborne Town - Yate Town	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Yate Town - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLLT

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