Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 30

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Yate Town		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.35	2.98
	2.13	3.33	3.18
	2.1	3.64	3.13	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.12	3.28	3.08
	2.14	3.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.98)	3.34 ↓ (3.88)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
43.1%

Draw
27.3%

Dorchester Town
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

23.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Yate Town - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Parker J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yate won 2.

Recent performances by Yate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dorchester is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dorchester has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Yate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yate won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
03.02.26	Yate Town - Hungerford Town	6:2 ✺
31.01.26	Berkhamsted - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Yate Town - Uxbridge	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Sholing - Yate Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWTL
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
14.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Dorchester Town - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Dorchester Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Dorchester Town - Yate Town	2:0
02.01.23	Dorchester Town - Yate Town	2:0
29.08.22	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	0:0
18.04.22	Dorchester Town - Yate Town	0:1
01.01.22	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	2:1
26.09.20	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	4:1
19.10.19	Dorchester Town - Yate Town	2:0

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