Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Central Stadium Hagi Academy (Ovidiu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Farul Constanța		Gloria Buzău

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.25	9	Watch
	1.27	5.25	9
	1.24	5.8	10
	1.22	5.9	9.4
	1.25	5.95	10.33	Watch
	1.3	5	9.5
	1.26	6.33	9.11	Watch
	1.24	5.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	5.79 ↑ (4.7)	9.54 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farul Constanța
74.2%

Draw
16.1%

Gloria Buzău
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.7%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

18.5%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farul Constanța has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farul Constanța's performance.

Gloria Buzău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Buzău than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Farul Constanța - Gloria Buzău Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Farul (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Farul Constanța will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 22. Sirbu D. 17. Larie I. (C) 4. Gustavo Marins 11. Ganea C. 20. Radaslavescu E. 6. Dican V. 16. Buta G. 30. Grigoryan N. 7. Alibec D. 98. Basceanu L.	1. Lazar D. (C) 22. Pirvulescu S. 5. Turda G. 21. Dobrosavlevici A. 18. Salceanu R. 6. Calin T. 8. Albu D. 98. Jipa A. 88. Brincoveanu N. 80. Dumitrascu D. 30. Isfan A.
Substitutes
25. Avramescu I. 77. Ciobanu A. 99. Doicaru I. 68. Ducan R. (G) 2. Fabinho 10. Iancu G. 45. Joao Ferreira 80. Popescu N. 3. Reginaldo 5. Tiru B.	19. Benavente C. 99. Buda F. 14. Ciranni A. 12. Greab A. (G) 4. Mihai L. 39. Railean D. (G) 24. Saveljevs A.
Coaches
Hagi G.	Stan I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Grigoryan N. ⚽, Basceanu L. (A),
35', Isfan A. (Pen),
45+4', Dobrosavlevici A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Radaslavescu E. ↓, Ciobanu A. ↑,
53', Ciobanu A. 🟨,
57', Basceanu L. ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
64', Isfan A. ↓, Buda F. ↑,
64', Dumitrascu D. ↓, Mihai L. ↑,
73', Brincoveanu N. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
74', Jipa A. ↓, Iordache D. ↑,
77', Gustavo Marins 🟨,
79', Iordache D. 🟨,
86', Turda G. 🟨,
90+2', Pirvulescu S. ↓, Ciranni A. ↑,
90+2', Buta G. ↓, Tiru B. ↑,
90+2', Grigoryan N. ↓, Doicaru I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farul won 1.

In recent matches, Farul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gloria Buzău is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Farul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Farul is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Farul: Balasa M. (Inactive) Casap C. (Inactive) Cojocaru I. (Inactive) Kivinda D. (Inactive) Nedelcu D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Gloria Buzău: Brobbey K. (Yellow Cards) Budescu C. (Injury) Dumitru C. (Injury) Matos R. (Injury) Tescan D. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Farul won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Farul won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
28.04.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța	0:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
24.04.25	CFR Cluj - Farul Constanța	4:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
19.04.25	Farul Constanța - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sepsi OSK - Farul Constanța	1:4 ✺
07.04.25	Farul Constanța - Unirea Slobozia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTWT
- Gloria Buzău
Romanian SuperLiga
27.04.25	Gloria Buzău - Botoșani	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Gloria Buzău	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Gloria Buzău - Politehnica Iași	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Hermannstadt - Gloria Buzău	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Gloria Buzău - Oţelul Galaţi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
10.02.25	Farul Constanța - Gloria Buzău	1:0
29.09.24	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	1:0
Romanian Cup
02.11.23	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	1:0
Romanian Division 2
19.09.20	Farul Constanța - Gloria Buzău	2:2
02.11.19	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	2:0
Romanian Division 2/Serie 1
02.04.16	Farul Constanța - Gloria Buzău	2:0
11.11.15	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	0:0

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