Match Info

Superliga - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Ilie Oană (Ploiesti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Petrolul Ploieşti		Farul Constanța

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.62	2.92	2.72
	2.81	2.95	2.88
	2.74	2.95	2.78	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.75
	2.71	2.86	2.77	Watch
	2.71	2.9	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.77 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrolul Ploieşti
34.3%

Draw
32.1%

Farul Constanța
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolul Ploieşti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Farul Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farul Constanța might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farul Constanța could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	68.4%	21.1%

Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ploiesti will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Farul will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Farul (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Krell S. (G) 24. Ricardinho 4. Papp P. 42. Guilherme 23. Dumitrescu A. 6. Jyry T. 88. Dulca M. 5. Dongmo D. 55. Pop R. 9. Chica-Rosa A. 7. Grozav G. (C)	1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 93. Furtado S. 17. Larie I. (C) 15. Tiru B. 21. Pellegrini L. 8. Vina I. 6. Dican V. 20. Radaslavescu E. 31. Isfan A. 9. Vojtus J. 30. Grigoryan N.
Substitutes
1. Balbarau R. (G) 36. Botogan A. 97. Dumitrache A. 11. Gheorghe V. 20. Hanca S. 22. Ignat C. 40. Manolache R. 21. Paraschiv D. 71. Prce F. 2. Rodrigues D.	27. Cojocaru I. 5. Dutu S. 29. Goncear A. 4. Gustavo Marins 10. Iancu G. 98. Maftei D. 25. Markovic J. 12. Munteanu R. (G) 77. Ramalho 22. Sirbu D. 7. Tanasa R.
Coaches
Neagoe E.	Zicu I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Dican V. ⚽, Radaslavescu E. (A),
38', Guilherme 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Isfan A. ↓, Ramalho ↑,
67', Grozav G. ↓, Gheorghe V. ↑,
68', Furtado S. ↓, Maftei D. ↑,
68', Grigoryan N. ↓, Tanasa R. ↑,
74', Dican V. 🟨,
84', Jyry T. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
87', Vojtus J. ↓, Sirbu D. ↑,
87', Radaslavescu E. ↓, Cojocaru I. ↑,
90', Paraschiv D. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ploiesti won 0.

Ploiesti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Farul's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Farul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ploiesti: Ludewig K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Farul: Constantinescu N. (Knee Injury) Ganea C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Farul: Banu L. (Inactive) Sirbu D. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ploiesti won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ploiesti won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Petrolul	10	6	1	3	13:12	1	19
9	Farul Constanta	10	3	5	2	14:14	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Petrolul Ploieşti - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.37%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian SuperLiga
19.01.26	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Gaziantep - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.12.25	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Cluj	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWTTL
- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
17.01.26	Farul Constanța - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.26	Botoșani - Farul Constanța	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.12.25	Universitatea Cluj - Farul Constanța	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Farul Constanța - UTA Arad	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Farul Constanța	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
01.09.25	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:1
28.04.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța	0:1
03.02.25	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:1
14.09.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța	1:1
10.12.23	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	3:1
06.08.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța	3:2
18.02.23	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0

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