Match Info

Super Lig - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Konyaspor

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.59	3.34	2.64
	2.63	3.6	2.75
	2.86	3.67	2.29	Watch
	2.74	3.55	2.61	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.86)	3.51 ↓ (3.67)	2.52 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
35%

Draw
27.2%

Konyaspor
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

25.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.6%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Konyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Konyaspor than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	15.4%	53.8%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Konyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Konyaspor will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Konyaspor: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 50%). Konyaspor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (G) 6. Cankaya A. R. (C) 3. Roco E. 29. Balkovec J. 33. Kurukalip C. 5. Kranevitter M. 14. Doh M. 70. Serginho 8. Ozcan B. 23. Larsson S. 19. Fofana D. D.	13. Gungordu B. (G) 23. Andzouana Y. 37. Eris M. 15. Calusic J. 12. Guilherme 77. Ibrahimoglu M. 18. Ndao A. 8. Pedrinho 10. Bardhi E. 40. Muleka J. 22. Nayir U.
Substitutes
99. Beklevic F. (G) 37. Camacho J. 94. Cinar A. 21. Cukur T. 47. Esgaio R. 91. Gray A. 11. Johnson D. 32. Kadioglu M. 72. Kalayci B. 27. Ugrekhelidze N.	70. Akyazi K. 42. Bjorlo M. 17. Bostan M. 30. Buga I. E. 1. Ertas D. (G) 14. Ibrahimoglu M. 21. Jo Jin-ho 11. Stefanescu M. 3. Subasi K. 5. Yazgili U.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Atan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽,
40', Larsson S. ↓, Camacho J. ↑,
45', 2 - 0, Fofana D. D. ⚽, Kurukalip C. (A),
45+3', Bardhi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedrinho ↓, Bjorlo M. ↑,
70', Ndao A. ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
74', Ozcan B. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
76', Bardhi E. ↓, Jo Jin-ho ↑,
76', Calusic J. ↓, Subasi K. ↑,
80', Johnson D. 🟨,
88', Kranevitter M. ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
88', Fofana D. D. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
89', Grbic I. 🟨,
90', Jo Jin-ho 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.

Karagümrük is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Konyaspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Konyaspor has had a series of home games.

Konyaspor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Esgaio R. (Injury)

There will not play in Konyaspor: Akyol U. (Knee Injury) Demirbag A. (Yellow Cards) Jevtovic M. (Injury) Yazgili U. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:13. (average 2.4:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Fatih Karagümrükspor - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.02%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
03.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Konyaspor
Turkish Super League
02.11.25	Konyaspor - Samsunspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.25	Konyaspor - 12 Bingöl Spor	4:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.10.25	Gençlerbirliği - Konyaspor	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Konyaspor - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Konyaspor - Kocaelispor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
15.03.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Konyaspor	1:1
05.11.23	Konyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
03.06.23	Konyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
08.01.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Konyaspor	3:3
30.04.22	Konyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2
Turkish Cup
08.02.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Konyaspor	5:4 ET
Turkish Super League
11.12.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Konyaspor	1:4

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