Match Info

1. Lig - Round 5

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.00	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.50
	2.43	3.05	2.63	Watch
	2.69	3.35	2.71
	2.53	3.44	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.65
	2.66	3.14	2.66
	2.55	3.10	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.48)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	2.61 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
35.8%

Draw
29%

Kayserispor
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silvestri M. (G) 22. Civelek R. 4. Biraschi D. (C) 3. Nukan A. 33. Kurukalip C. 6. Yalcin R. 20. Siopis M. 10. Verde D. 5. Akbaba E. 26. Ahmed T. 72. Pesic A.	35. Degirmenci G. (G) 7. Ucar M. 4. Guler S. (C) 3. Tabidze J. 77. Sen C. 8. Kurt S. 10. Keser B. 9. Hasani F. 61. Saglam G. 97. Seferi T. 27. Moreno D.
Substitutes
21. Baskale C. 28. Cinar A. 11. Cukur T. 14. Doh M. 7. Kalayci B. 17. Kalpakli T. 19. Onogo Y. 25. Sarikaya M. 23. Sen B. (G) 9. Tosun C.	14. Arikan M. 28. Camara M. 5. Cihan K. 16. Donmezer D. (G) 88. Dulca M. 17. Gockan M. 38. Karapinar A. T. 18. Ozer F. 22. Radu D. 99. Sariarslan T.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.	Gerin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Hasani F. ↓, Dulca M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Verde D. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
46', Ucar M. ↓, Radu D. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Seferi T. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
57', Yalcin R. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
57', Kurukalip C. ↓, Sarikaya M. ↑,
66', Siopis M. 🟨,
66', Guler S. 🟨,
68', Saglam G. ↓, Ozer F. ↑,
69', Keser B. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
72', Nukan A. 🟨,
79', Seferi T. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
84', Siopis M. ↓, Doh M. ↑,
86', Sariarslan T. 🟨,
88', Camara M. 🟨,
90+2', Degirmenci G. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Biraschi D. ⚽, Nukan A. (A),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Yusuf Ziya Onis.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Hosseini M. (Health problems)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	15:3	12	19
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Fatih Karagümrükspor - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
29.08.26	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.05.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Alanyaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWLW
- Kayserispor
Turkish First League
29.08.26	Kayserispor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Igdirspor - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Kayserispor - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.05.26	Kayserispor - Konyaspor	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Alanyaspor - Kayserispor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
19.03.26	Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0
24.10.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	2:2
04.05.24	Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2
10.01.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	4:1
30.05.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	2:0
04.01.23	Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:4
18.03.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	3:0

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