Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 9

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports Max
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Turkey	beIN Sports 2


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Adana Demirspor

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.7	2.15
	2.95	3.8	2.15	Watch
	3.08	3.97	2.21
	3.08	3.97	2.21
	3	3.7	2.15
	3.13	3.8	2.09	Watch
	2.95	3.7	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.21)	3.78 ↓ (3.81)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
31.3%

Draw
25%

Adana Demirspor
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

24.6%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.4%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.9%	7.9%	84.2%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Adana Demirspor will win (32 of 38 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 95.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bilgin E. (G) 4. Biraschi D. 5. Dresevic I. 26. Ceccherini F. 8. Feghouli S. 30. Sangare N. 9. Eysseric V. 6. Rohden M. 18. Mercan L. (C) 10. Yalcin G. 7. Keles C.	25. Ozbir E. (G) 22. Svensson J. 5. Gravillon A. 4. Guler S. 77. Rodrigues K. 8. Akbaba E. 90. Stambouli B. (C) 7. Sari Y. 10. Belhanda Y. 30. Nani 9. Niang M.
Substitutes
13. Beklevic F. (G) 11. Darri B. 19. Dursun S. 16. Kesgin K. A. 17. Onur S. 29. Shukurov O. 27. Sturaro S. 22. Tintis E. 77. Ugur A. 3. Veseli F.	6. Aydogan T. 56. Barasi Y. 23. Burak A. 2. Cokcalis I. 3. Dursun A. 32. Erdogan Y. 71. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 20. Michut E. 26. Tokoz D. 21. Zeneli A.
Coaches
Erdem A.	Kluivert P.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 2.

Karagümrük is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Adana Demirspor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Adana Demirspor have a series of home games.

Adana Demirspor will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Adana Demirspor: Akintola B. (Muscle Injury) Ndiaye B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
06.10.23	Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Pendikspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	0:0 ✺
01.09.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTTL
- Adana Demirspor
Turkish Super League
06.10.23	Adana Demirspor - Trabzonspor	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Adana Demirspor - Alanyaspor	4:0 ✺
27.09.23	Adana Demirspor - Beşiktaş	4:2 ✺
24.09.23	Kasımpaşa - Adana Demirspor	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Adana Demirspor - Pendikspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
17.05.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor	2:3
25.12.22	Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1
22.01.22	Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	5:0
11.09.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor	4:0
Turkish First League
30.07.20	Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 penalties
07.03.20	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor	2:2
27.10.19	Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1

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