Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 5

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Ugurlu Y. K. (Tur)


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.6	4.13
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.91	3.68	3.82	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)	3.51 ↓ (3.54)	3.78 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
48.6%

Draw
26.7%

Hatayspor
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.1%	29.6%	22.2%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dituro M. (G) 3. Veseli F. 26. Ceccherini F. 4. Biraschi D. 18. Mercan L. 27. Sturaro S. 77. Ugur A. 19. Dursun S. 6. Rohden M. 20. Mendes R. 15. Lasagna K.	1. Kardesler E. (G) 2. Corekci K. 3. Kilama G. 86. Bekaroglu B. 31. Matur O. 4. Massanga Matondo 29. Aburjania G. 11. Lamkel Ze D. 17. Dele-Bashiru F. 77. Fernandes J. 10. Strandberg C.
Substitutes
23. Bilgin E. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 8. Feghouli S. 7. Keles C. 16. Kesgin K. A. 97. Paoletti F. 30. Sangare N. 29. Shukurov O. 22. Tintis E. 10. Yalcin G.	22. Alici K. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 7. Beyaz O. 9. Dadashov R. 13. Ghoulam F. 18. Hodzic A. 19. Maksimovic N. 99. Rivas R. 5. Saglam G. 15. Yilmaz R. B.
Coaches
Erdem A.	Demirel V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 2.

Karagümrük is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hatayspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Karagümrük is a favorite.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Ghoulam F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
01.09.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.23	Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWLL
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
03.09.23	Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor	3:3 ✺
27.08.23	Alanyaspor - Hatayspor	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Hatayspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Pendikspor - Hatayspor	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Napoli - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
15.10.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	3:0
12.03.22	Hatayspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0
24.10.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	1:1
06.04.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	1:0
12.12.20	Hatayspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:1
Turkish First League
07.02.20	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	1:1
16.09.19	Hatayspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:0

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