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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 32.1%
Draw 27.7%
Çaykur Rizespor 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
28.6%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
28.7%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
25%
62.5%
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Rizespor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (C) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Biraschi D. 3. Lichnovsky I. 33. Kurukalip C. 10. Verde D. 6. Elmaz B. 8. Ozcan B. 80. Babicka S. 70. Serginho 23. Larsson S.
75. Fofana Y. (G) 54. Pala M. 3. Akaydin S. 27. Sagnan M. 5. Hojer C. (C) 14. Antalyali T. 50. Augusto L. 10. Olawoyin I. 20. Laci Q. 7. Mihaila V. 11. Dervisoglu H.
Substitutes
88. Ahmed T. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 21. Cukur T. 24. Ersoy B. 32. Kadioglu M. 72. Kalayci B. 19. Onogo Y.
18. Buljubasic M. 99. Bulut E. 1. Canpolat E. (G) 4. Mocsi A. 65. Ortakaya E. 6. Papanikolaou G. 19. Pierrot F. 37. Sahin T. 9. Sowe A. 77. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.
Ucar R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Verde D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Akaydin S. 🟨,
60', Olawoyin I. ↓, Sowe A. ↑,
69', Verde D. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Sowe A. ⚽,
73', Antalyali T. ↓, Papanikolaou G. ↑,
73', Augusto L. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
74', Hojer C. 🟨,
76', Serginho ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
78', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
86', Larsson S. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
86', Kurukalip C. ↓, Kadioglu M. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Babicka S. ⚽, Cukur T. (A),
90+1', Hojer C. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
90+1', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
90+2', Stanojevic A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Karagümrük has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Injury)
Kranevitter M.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Rizespor: Alikulov K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Babicka S.
(Injury)
Biraschi D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Larsson S.
(Injury)
Verde D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Rizespor: Hojer C.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Asia
Turkey
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Grbic I. (C) 
Esgaio R. 
Biraschi D. 
Lichnovsky I. 
Kurukalip C. 
Babicka S. 
Serginho 
Larsson S. 
Fofana Y. (G) 
Sagnan M. 
Hojer C. (C) 
Augusto L. 
Olawoyin I. 
Laci Q. 
Mihaila V. 
Buljubasic M. 
Canpolat E. (G) 
Mocsi A. 
Papanikolaou G. 
Pierrot F. 
Sowe A. 
Zeqiri A. 
Stanojevic A. 
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