Match Info

Super Lig - Round 24

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Trabzonspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6	Watch
	1.35	5	7.75
	1.47	4.21	6.4	Watch
	1.5	4.55	6.74
	1.46	4.55	6.72	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.52	4.51	6.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.38)	4.45 ↓ (5.19)	6.6 ↓ (7.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
64.6%

Draw
21.1%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

18.5%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

17.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.18) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Trabzonspor (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Karagümrük (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 9 - 90%). Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 27. Nwaiwu C. 15. Savic S. (C) 44. Batagov A. 11. Tufan O. 8. Bouchouari B. 42. Inao Oulai C. 19. Eskihellac M. 10. Muci E. 30. Onuachu P. 99. Felipe Augusto	13. Grbic I. (C) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Biraschi D. 3. Lichnovsky I. 25. Mladenovic F. 5. Kranevitter M. 6. Elmaz B. 10. Verde D. 80. Babicka S. 23. Larsson S. 70. Serginho
Substitutes
17. Cakiroglu O. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 92. Ince T. E. 14. Lovik M. 74. Malkocoglu S. 18. Nayir U. 9. Nwakaeme A. 20. Pina W. 5. Yokuslu O. 22. Zubkov O.	88. Ahmed T. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 21. Cukur T. 24. Ersoy B. 15. Kone 22. Kurucuk F. 33. Kurukalip C. 19. Onogo Y. 8. Ozcan B.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Stanojevic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Onuachu P. ⚽, Tufan O. (A),
21', Biraschi D. ↓, Cinar A. ↑,
28', 1 - 1, Verde D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kranevitter M. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
46', Bouchouari B. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
46', Felipe Augusto ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Nwaiwu C. ⚽, Tufan O. (A),
50', 3 - 1, Nwaiwu C. ⚽, Onuachu P. (A),
63', Larsson S. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
73', Eskihellac M. ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
73', Nwaiwu C. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
76', Babicka S. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
76', Serginho ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
87', Cinar A. 🟨,
88', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Pina W. ↑,
90+2', Tufan O. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 4.

Trabzonspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Karagümrük has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Trabzonspor is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Visca E. (Foot Injury) Zubkov O. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Karagümrük: Kalayci B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Inactive) Johnson D. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:13. (average 2.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
22.02.26	Gaziantep - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.02.26	Trabzonspor - Fethiyespor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.01.26	Antalyaspor - Trabzonspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWT
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
22.02.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.26	Göztepe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
27.09.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor	3:4
Turkish Cup
08.05.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor	0:4
24.04.24	Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:2
Turkish Super League
09.03.24	Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	5:1
29.10.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor	0:0
22.05.23	Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:1
28.12.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor	4:1

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