Match Info

Super Lig - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon)

Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Trabzonspor		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.9	4	Watch
	1.86	3.52	3.93
	1.92	3.85	4.23
	1.88	3.74	3.97	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.85	3.93	4.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.69)	3.76 ↓ (4.14)	4.03 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
51.3%

Draw
25.2%

Çaykur Rizespor
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trabzonspor's form might have worsened.

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Rizespor (2.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Rizespor (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 11. Tufan O. 27. Nwaiwu C. 15. Savic S. (C) 14. Lovik M. 42. Inao Oulai C. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 99. Felipe Augusto 10. Muci E. 19. Eskihellac M. 30. Onuachu P.	75. Fofana Y. (G) 37. Sahin T. 3. Akaydin S. 27. Sagnan M. 54. Pala M. (C) 14. Antalyali T. 6. Papanikolaou G. 17. Mebude A. 10. Olawoyin I. 7. Mihaila V. 11. Dervisoglu H.
Substitutes
17. Cakiroglu O. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 92. Ince T. E. 74. Malkocoglu S. 18. Nayir U. 9. Nwakaeme A. 20. Pina W. 88. Yildirim A. (G) 5. Yokuslu O. 22. Zubkov O.	50. Augusto L. 18. Buljubasic M. 99. Bulut E. 1. Canpolat E. (G) 90. Capoglu B. 4. Mocsi A. 70. Orak F. 65. Ortakaya E. 19. Pierrot F. 77. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Ucar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lovik M. ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Onuachu P. ⚽, Zubkov O. (A),
65', Felipe Augusto ↓, Pina W. ↑,
65', Mebude A. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
70', Papanikolaou G. 🟨,
74', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
75', Tufan O. ↓, Nayir U. ↑,
81', Mihaila V. 🟨,
86', Sahin T. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
86', Olawoyin I. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
86', Antalyali T. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
90+1', Muci E. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
90+1', Eskihellac M. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Trabzonspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trabzonspor is the team to beat.

We predict that Trabzonspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 46:28. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 33:14. (average 3.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13
9	Rizespor	7	3	1	3	7:9	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
09.03.26	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
27.02.26	Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gaziantep - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
08.03.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	0:3 ✺
20.02.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Gençlerbirliği - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.10.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor	1:2
13.04.25	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	5:2
Turkish Super League
09.11.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor	3:1
25.01.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor	1:0
26.08.23	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:3
18.03.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor	3:2

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