Match Info

Turkish Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Fatsa Belediyespor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.5	3.35	1.95
	2.60	3.14	2.65	Watch
	3.63	3.44	1.97	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (4.12)	3.31 ↓ (3.57)	2.08 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatsa Belediyespor
27.4%

Draw
28.1%

Vanspor
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.7%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.8%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatsa Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatsa Belediyespor's performance.

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatsa Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatsa Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fatsa Belediyespor - Vanspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fatsa Belediyespor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Kulbak E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, Manis M. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Altunkaynak S. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Kor B. ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, Sipahiler M. S. ⚽,
75', 3 - 3, Kor B. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (6 - 7)
1, Bilal H. (Pen),
1, Alturan E. (Pen),
2, Manis M. (Pen),
2, Ozyurek B. (Pen),
3, Usta G. (Pen),
3, Simsek U. (Pen),
4, Yagizer B. (Pen),
4, Furkan U. (Pen),
5, Sodbilguun T. (Pen),
5, Bilikli K. (Pen),
6, Olmez S. (Pen),
6, Calik E. (Pen),
7, Sakar M. (Pen),
7, Sahin O. (Pen),
8, Basaran A. (Pen),
8, Bicer B. (Pen),

Preview

Fatsa Belediyespor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vanspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vanspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vanspor might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatsa Belediyespor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
25.10.25	Fatsa Belediyespor - Giresunspor	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Yozgat Bozokspor - Fatsa Belediyespor	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Kastamonuspor - Fatsa Belediyespor	3:4 penalties ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
13.09.25	Orduspor 1967 - Fatsa Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Fatsa Belediyespor - 1926 Bulancakspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.4 WLWWW
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Adana Demirspor - Vanspor	2:4 ✺
18.10.25	Vanspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Erzurumspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Vanspor - Amed SK	3:0 ✺
24.09.25	Bodrumspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTWL

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