Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 6 February 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Feirense		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.6	3.6	5.1
	1.67	3.65	4.3
	1.61	4	6.04
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.6	3.75	5.45
	1.58	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	3.68 ↑ (3.59)	5.29 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
57.6%

Draw
25%

Covilhã
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

22.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Feirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covilhã could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	20.8%	16.7%

Feirense - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Covilhã will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feirense: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Feirense won 2.

Recent matches Feirense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Covilhã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Feirense is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Feirense won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Feirense won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
29.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Feirense	4:1 ✺
23.01.23	Torreense - Feirense	4:2 ✺
15.01.23	Feirense - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Benfica B - Feirense	3:6 ✺
23.12.22	Feirense - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWT
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
29.01.23	Covilhã - Porto B	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Covilhã - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Trofense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	0:0 ✺
30.12.22	Oliveirense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
13.08.22	Covilhã - Feirense	0:2
18.01.22	Covilhã - Feirense	2:2
07.08.21	Feirense - Covilhã	1:2
27.02.21	Covilhã - Feirense	0:2
03.10.20	Feirense - Covilhã	0:0
29.11.19	Covilhã - Feirense	1:2
Club Friendly
12.07.17	Feirense - Covilhã	2:0

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