Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Feirense

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3	3.3
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.37	3.13	3.42
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.21	3.26	3.16
	2.14	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.38)	3.16 ↑ (3)	3.18 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
42.1%

Draw
29.1%

Feirense
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

32.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Estrela da Amadora - Feirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 7).

Estrela is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Feirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estrela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Penafiel	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Nacional - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:2 ✺
31.12.22	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
17.12.22	Estrela da Amadora - Penafiel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTTT
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
23.01.23	Torreense - Feirense	4:2 ✺
15.01.23	Feirense - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Benfica B - Feirense	3:6 ✺
23.12.22	Feirense - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.22	Feirense - Leixões	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.08.22	Feirense - Estrela da Amadora	1:1
12.03.22	Estrela da Amadora - Feirense	1:2
24.10.21	Feirense - Estrela da Amadora	1:2

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