Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 24Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday
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Felanitx |
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Mercadal |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.42 |
3.1 |
2.62 |
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 |
2.58 |
3.05 |
2.71 |
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 |
6.57 |
1.31 |
6.14 |
 Watch |
 |
2.52 |
2.92 |
2.68 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(3.04) |
2.6 ↓
(3.01) |
3.54 ↑
(2.24) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Felanitx
29.8% | Draw
40.5% | Mercadal
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felanitx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Felanitx - Mercadal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Granados D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felanitx won 1.Felanitx has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Mercadal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Mercadal will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Felanitx won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Felanitx won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 19.10.25 | Mercadal - Felanitx | 1:0 | | 03.05.25 | Mercadal - Felanitx | 7:0 | | 21.12.24 | Felanitx - Mercadal | 1:1 | | 13.01.24 | Felanitx - Mercadal | 0:1 | | 12.02.22 | Mercadal - Felanitx | 0:1 | | 12.10.21 | Felanitx - Mercadal | 0:1 | | 25.08.18 | Felanitx - Mercadal | 3:1 |
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