Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Mercadal		Mallorca B

	1	X	2
	7.75	4	1.37
	8.1	4.45	1.31
	8.08	4.45	1.35
	8	4.2	1.36
	7.8	4.4	1.34
	8	4.5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.96 ↓ (8.25)	4.33 ↑ (4.33)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercadal
11.4%

Draw
21%

Mallorca B
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

21.1%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

20.4%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mallorca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Mercadal - Mallorca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 0.

Mercadal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mallorca B is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Mallorca B is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Mercadal	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Mercadal	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Mercadal - Formentera	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Inter Ibiza - Mercadal	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Mercadal - Llosetense	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cardassar - Mercadal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWTL
- Mallorca B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.12.25	Mallorca B - Binissalem	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Felanitx - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Mallorca B - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Portmany - Mallorca B	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mallorca B - Rotlet Molinar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.03.24	Mallorca B - Mercadal	3:0
22.10.23	Mercadal - Mallorca B	0:2
03.04.22	Mercadal - Mallorca B	0:1
04.12.21	Mallorca B - Mercadal	2:0
29.09.18	Mallorca B - Mercadal	3:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
12.10.17	Mallorca B - Mercadal	5:0

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