Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Son Cladera		Mercadal

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.78	2.72
	2.65	2.84	2.79
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.59	2.78	2.72
	2.54	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.59)	2.84 (2.84)	2.72 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Son Cladera
34.8%

Draw
31.9%

Mercadal
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

31.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

30.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Son Cladera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Son Cladera than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-1%)

Son Cladera - Mercadal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Son Cladera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mercadal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Son Cladera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Son Cladera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Mercadal	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Son Cladera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
13.01.26	Son Cladera - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Son Cladera - Binissalem	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Felanitx - Son Cladera	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Portmany - Son Cladera	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Son Cladera - Rotlet Molinar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLT
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Alcúdia - Mercadal	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Mercadal - Mallorca B	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Mercadal	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Mercadal - Formentera	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Inter Ibiza - Mercadal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
18.04.19	Son Cladera - Mercadal	1:0

Son Cladera - Mercadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide