Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Turkey	S Sport+


	Fenerbahçe		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.63	3.94	4.33
	1.62	4.19	4.34	Watch
	1.57	4	4.4
	1.61	4.05	4.38	Watch
	1.63	4.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.12)	4.08 ↑ (3.7)	4.41 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
56.7%

Draw
22.5%

Hajduk Split
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

24.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenerbahçe's performance.

Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hajduk Split might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fenerbahçe - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 50. Rodrigo Becao 6. Djiku A. 22. Mercan L. 35. Fred 33. Krunic R. 28. Elmaz B. 20. Under C. 9. Dzeko E. 11. Kent R.	13. Lucic I. (G) 18. Moufi F. 25. Uremovic F. 31. Sarlija Z. 5. Diallo I. 35. Jurak L. 26. Capan M. 21. Pukstas R. 7. Kalik A. 43. Djolonga N. 10. Livaja M. (C)
Substitutes
98. Arkutcu E. 1. Cetin E. (G) 15. Crespo M. 23. Demir Y. E. 70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 69. Kocaturk Y. 14. Luan Peres . Mor E. 17. Nayir U. 4. Ortakaya E. 53. Szymanski S. 26. Zajc M.	39. Antunovic M. 28. Brajkovic R. 40. Buljan B. (G) 34. Durdov B. 19. Elez J. 32. Hrgovic S. 91. Kalinic L. (G) 42. Kavelj A. 23. Krovinovic F. 17. Melnjak D. 3. Prpic D. 1. Silic T. (G) 36. Skelin M. 37. Skoko N. 16. Sosic M.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Gattuso G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Djolonga N. 🟨,
31', Djiku A. 🟨,
31', Livaja M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Djolonga N. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
46', Mercan L. ↓, Akcicek Y. ↑,
46', Livakovic D. ↓, Cetin E. ↑,
59', Under C. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
66', Elmaz B. 🟨,
69', Pukstas R. 🟨,
70', Sarlija Z. ↓, Prpic D. ↑,
70', Lucic I. ↓, Kalinic L. ↑,
70', Jurak L. ↓, Krovinovic F. ↑,
70', Fred ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
70', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Crespo M. ↑,
70', Elmaz B. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
76', Capan M. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
76', Diallo I. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
79', Dzeko E. ↓, Luan Peres ↑,
79', Djiku A. ↓, Nayir U. ↑,
83', Kalik A. ↓, Skoko N. ↑,
84', Livaja M. ↓, Sosic M. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Durdov B. ⚽, Melnjak D. (A),
88', Moufi F. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Fenerbahçe in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hajduk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fenerbahçe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hajduk have a series of guest games.

In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fenerbahçe to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Admira - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Fenerbahçe - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.05.24	Fenerbahçe - İstanbulspor	6:0 ✺
19.05.24	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWWW
- Hajduk Split
Club Friendly
09.07.24	Rukh Lviv - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
06.07.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Hajduk Split	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Radomlje - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.05.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split	2:5 ✺
19.05.24	Hajduk Split - Gorica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTLWW

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