The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Galatasaray 42.5%
Draw 28.6%
Fenerbahçe 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
30.1%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
31%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.8%
12.5%
16.7%
Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 50.8% – 88.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 99. Lemina M. 10. Sane L. 11. Akgun Y. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.
31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 3. Brown A. 17. Kante N. 6. Guendouzi M. 45. Nene D. 94. Talisca 9. Akturkoglu K. 26. Cherif S.
Substitutes
23. Ayhan K. 93. Boey S. 17. Elmali E. 8. Gabriel Sara 20. Gundogan I. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 77. Lang N. 74. Nhaga R. 90. Singo W.
21. Asensio M. 70. Aydin O. 14. Demir Y. E. 7. Fred 34. Gunok M. (G) 22. Mercan L. 18. Muldur M. 20. Musaba A. 4. Soyuncu C. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Buruk O.
Tedesco D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
6', Cakir U. 🟨,
14', Talisca (Penalty Awarded),
23', Ederson 🟨,
23', Brown A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Lemina M. (A),
41', Akgun Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Ederson 🟨,
65', Talisca ↓, Gunok M. ↑,
66', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Yilmaz B. A. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,
68', Akgun Y. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
71', Nene D. ↓, Musaba A. ↑,
82', Lemina M. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
82', Jakobs I. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
82', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Torreira L. ⚽,
84', Brown A. ↓, Mercan L. ↑,
85', Semedo N. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
85', Torreira L. 🟨,
85', Sallai R. ↓, Singo W. ↑,
90+3', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
90+6', Muldur M. 🟨,
90+6', Osimhen V. 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location - Atatürk Olimpiyat.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 2.
Galatasaray has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fenerbahçe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Galatasaray could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Galatasaray: Asprilla Y.
(Inactive)
Baltaci M.
(Suspended)
There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Asensio M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Cherif S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.6:0.7).