Match Info

HNL - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Poljud (Split)

Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Hajduk Split		Gorica

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.75	6
	1.48	4.25	5.9
	1.49	4.28	6.58
	1.47	4.42	6.31	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.48	4.1	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)	4.12 ↑ (3.7)	6.22 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajduk Split
62.6%

Draw
22.5%

Gorica
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajduk Split that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Hajduk Split - Gorica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Hajduk Split will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silic T. (G) 8. Sigur N. 31. Sarlija Z. 15. Maresic D. 32. Hrgovic S. 23. Krovinovic F. 4. Pajaziti A. 28. Brajkovic R. 21. Pukstas R. 11. Sego M. 10. Livaja M. (C)	71. Matijas D. (G) 22. Trontelj Z. 45. Peric S. 4. Filipovic J. (C) 5. Les M. 7. Bakic O. 36. Kavelj A. 64. Epailly T. 24. Pavicic D. 25. Bogojevic B. 11. Sule W.
Substitutes
34. Durdov B. 6. Guillamon H. 26. Guram A. 7. Kalik A. 17. Melnjak D. 41. Pocrnjic I. (G) 14. Raci R. 9. Rebic A. 24. Sanyang A. 36. Skelin M. 37. Skoko N. 44. Stipica D. (G)	19. Cabraja M. 32. Durakovic E. 18. Fiolic I. 99. Gashi M. 35. Josic Z. 14. Kucis S. 10. Prsir J. 1. Sahinovic M. (G) 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)
Coaches
Garcia G.	Carevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Livaja M. ⚽,
16', Sule W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sule W. ↓, Prsir J. ↑,
53', Pavicic D. 🟨,
61', Sego M. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
61', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
65', Prsir J. 🟨,
69', Les M. ↓, Cabraja M. ↑,
69', Bakic O. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
80', Pavicic D. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
82', Brajkovic R. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
85', Epailly T. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
90+4', Livaja M. ↓, Guram A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gorica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I. (Muscle Injury) Fesyuk D. (Inactive) Hodak L. (Muscle Injury) Ivusic I. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Hajduk: Rebic A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:13. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	9	19
10	Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
07.04.26	Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Vukovar 91 - Hajduk Split	0:6 ✺
15.03.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- HNK Gorica
Croatian Cup
08.04.26	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	3:6 ✺
Croatian HNL
03.04.26	Varaždin - Gorica	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Gorica - Rijeka	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Osijek - Gorica	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Gorica - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
31.01.26	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:0
24.10.25	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:3
10.08.25	Hajduk Split - Gorica	2:0
11.05.25	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:1
09.03.25	Hajduk Split - Gorica	2:1
07.12.24	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:0
21.09.24	Hajduk Split - Gorica	4:1

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