The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferencvárosi 36.3%
Draw 27.8%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 35.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.6%
27.7%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
27.6%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferencvárosi's form might have worsened.
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.4%
25%
31.6%
Ferencvárosi - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 33 - 43.4%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 24 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 32.3% – 54.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ferencvárosi has a good chance of knockout phase (66%), has a chance of round of 16 (39%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (30%), has a chance of 2nd (35%), has a chance of 3rd (22%).
Crvena Zvezda has a chance of knockout phase (26%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (7%), has a chance of 2nd (19%), has a chance of 3rd (33%).
This event has quality57, very big importance99, big match rating78. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Crvena Zvezda in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Ferencvárosi have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Kovacevic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Laidouni A.
(Injury)
Nguen T. C.
(Injury)
Wingo H.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
Australia
Austria
Finland
Norway
Poland
Sweden
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