Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.75
	2	3.4	3.8
	2.02	3.5	3.9
	2.03	3.4	3.8
	2.03	3.55	3.93
	2	3.4	3.7
	2.05	3.54	3.76
	2.04	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.9)	3.47 ↓ (3.59)	3.81 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
47.3%

Draw
27.6%

Ferencvárosi
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

29%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	8.2%	10.7%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (129 of 159 users predict this - 81.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.05% – 87.21%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crvena Zvezda has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a small chance of 2nd (10%), has a chance of 3rd (25%), has a small chance of round of 16 (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ferencvárosi has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (47%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a small chance of 3rd (14%), has a good chance of round of 16 (55%), has a small chance of qtrs (14%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 56, importance 53, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Crvena Zvezda have a series of guest games.

In this match Crvena Zvezda is a favorite.

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Kangwa K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Civic E. (Red Card)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
02.10.22	Mladost Novi Sad - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
Serbian Cup
29.09.22	Mačva Šabac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
18.09.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Trabzonspor - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
11.09.22	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
02.10.22	Kecskemeti - Ferencvárosi	2:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
18.09.22	Bicske - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Monaco - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
11.09.22	Ferencvárosi - Kisvárda	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Ferencvárosi - Trabzonspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWWW

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