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Current Win Probability
Monaco 66.4%
Draw 20.3%
Ferencvárosi 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
23.5%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
23.3%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.8%
13.9%
20.3%
Monaco - Ferencvárosi Predictions
Users Predictions:
79 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 52 - 65.8%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 16 - 20.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 13.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 55.3% – 76.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Monaco has currently - 3, has a good chance of 1st (63%), has a chance of 2nd (22%), has a small chance of 3rd (11%), has a good chance of round of 16 (71%), has a chance of qtrs (30%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Ferencvárosi has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (21%), has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a chance of round of 16 (30%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality61, importance67, match rating64. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Monaco is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ferencvárosi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match Monaco is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Monaco: Boadu M.
(Foot Injury)
Geubbels W.
(Injury)
Volland K.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Civic E.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Thelander R.
(Injury)