Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.95
	4	3.1	2
	4.33	3.07	2.02
	4.33	3.07	1.99
	3.75	3.1	1.91
	4.05	3.13	1.87
	3.85	3.05	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.45)	3.07 ↑ (3)	1.96 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
23.1%

Draw
29.9%

Juventus U23
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.

Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventus U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventus U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fermana - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Furlanetto A. (G) 15. Santi P. 5. Spedalieri J. 34. Gasbarro A. 3. Pistolesi F. 26. Misuraca G. 16. Fontana T. 8. Scorza C. 7. Tilli R. 70. Semprini M. 2. Eleuteri A.	30. Daffara G. (G) 2. Savona N. 31. Stivanello R. 5. Muharemovic T. 14. Mulazzi G. 21. Palumbo M. 26. Damiani S. 32. Turicchia R. 9. Cerri L. 17. Guerra S. 36. Anghele L.
Substitutes
77. Badji A. 19. Biral N. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 9. Curatolo D. 6. Fort F. 20. Giandonato M. 24. Gianelli J. 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 10. Pinzi R. 18. Vessella M.	24. Citi A. 15. Comenencia L. 7. Hasa L. 20. Iocolano S. 23. Mancini T. 6. Maressa T. 33. Perotti C. 19. Rouhi J. 29. Salifou D. 25. Scaglia S. (G) 3. Stramaccioni D. 27. Valdesi A. 22. Zelezny R. (G)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Juventus U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Juventus U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.23	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Fermana - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Rimini - Fermana	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Fermana - Arezzo	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Sestri Levante - Fermana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLLL
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
09.12.23	Juventus U23 - Pineto	2:2 ✺
06.12.23	Lucchese - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Cesena - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Lucchese - Juventus U23	3:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Juventus U23 - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLW

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