Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 14

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Fermana		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.87	2.3
	3	3	2.4	Watch
	3.35	2.96	2.4
	3.35	2.86	2.4
	3	3	2.25
	3.05	2.95	2.3
	3.05	2.85	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.34 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
29.5%

Draw
31.3%

Arezzo
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

31.4%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

30.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Fermana - Arezzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fermana will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Arezzo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 34. Gasbarro A. 5. Spedalieri J. 27. Calderoni M. 10. Pinzi R. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 8. Scorza C. 7. Tilli R. 69. Montini M. 70. Semprini M.	22. Borra D. (G) 2. Montini A. 25. Masetti L. 4. Risaliti G. 27. Coccia L. 24. Foglia F. 8. Settembrini A. (C) 16. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. 10. Pattarello E. 28. Gucci N.
Substitutes
19. Biral N. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 9. Curatolo D. 16. Fontana T. 12. Mancini A. (G) 26. Misuraca G. 14. Padella E. 11. Paponi D. 3. Pistolesi F. 15. Santi P.	5. Bianchi S. 21. Castiglia L. 13. Chiosa M. 26. Crisafi J. F. 18. Damiani M. 12. Ermini J. (G) 11. Gaddini M. 19. Iori M. 31. Landucci N. (G) 17. Lazzarini M. 23. Poggesi A. 20. Zona S.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Fermana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
12.11.23	Sestri Levante - Fermana	3:0 ✺
06.11.23	Pineto - Fermana	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Fermana - Ancona	1:1 ✺
25.10.23	Olbia - Fermana	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Fermana - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
12.11.23	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
30.10.23	Arezzo - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
26.10.23	Ancona - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
23.10.23	Arezzo - SPAL	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.03.21	Arezzo - Fermana	1:0
09.12.20	Fermana - Arezzo	0:0

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