Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Lucchese		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.52	4	6
	1.51	3.97	7.37
	1.48	3.97	7.37
	1.44	3.75	7
	1.43	3.88	6.9
	1.48	3.75	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	3.86 ↑ (3.52)	6.72 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
62.4%

Draw
23.9%

Fermana
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

25.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

24.8%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lucchese - Fermana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fermana will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chiorra N. (G) 14. Quirini E. 6. Tiritiello A. (C) 23. Benassai F. 97. De Maria V. 27. Gucher R. 30. Cangianiello S. 8. Tumbarello G. 7. Rizzo Pinna A. 19. Russo F. 99. Magnaghi S.	22. Furlanetto A. (G) 15. Santi P. 5. Spedalieri J. 34. Gasbarro A. 3. Pistolesi F. 8. Scorza C. 10. Pinzi R. 16. Fontana T. 2. Eleuteri A. (C) 70. Semprini M. 7. Tilli R.
Substitutes
2. Alagna M. 12. Berti F. (G) 1. Coletta J. (G) 17. Djibril M. 77. Guadagni G. 26. Merletti T. 3. Perotta N. 9. Romero N. 11. Sueva G. 4. Toma R. 72. Visconti E. 45. Yeboah P.	19. Biral N. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 9. Curatolo D. 6. Fort F. 20. Giandonato M. 24. Gianelli J. 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 18. Vessella M.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fermana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lucchese is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.23	Lucchese - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Arezzo - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Lucchese - Juventus U23	3:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Cesena - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLL
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.23	Fermana - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Rimini - Fermana	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Fermana - Arezzo	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Sestri Levante - Fermana	3:0 ✺
06.11.23	Pineto - Fermana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
26.03.23	Lucchese - Fermana	1:1
26.11.22	Fermana - Lucchese	1:0
27.02.22	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0
19.10.21	Fermana - Lucchese	0:0

Lucchese - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide