Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 38

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Pescara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.9	3.6	2.2	Watch
	2.84	3.71	2.31
	2.84	3.71	2.26
	2.7	3.4	2.25
	2.86	3.47	2.26
	2.65	3.75	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.58)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	2.24 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
33.1%

Draw
25.7%

Pescara
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fermana - Pescara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borghetto N. (G) 14. Heinz J. 6. Fort F. 36. Carosso A. 30. Petrungaro L. 21. Malaccari N. 20. Giandonato M. 26. Misuraca G. (C) 28. Niang O. 9. Sorrentino L. 11. Paponi D.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 15. Floriani R. 13. Brosco R. 24. Mesik I. 2. Milani L. 17. Tunjov G. 30. Dagasso M. 33. Franchini S. 10. Merola D. 29. Cuppone L. (C) 11. Accornero F.
Substitutes
13. Bonfigli L. 31. Cicero M. 17. Condello S. 25. de Santis I. F. 2. Eleuteri A. 16. Fontana T. 22. Furlanetto A. (G) 10. Giovinco G. 34. Locanto G. 19. Marcandella D. 3. Pistolesi F. 70. Semprini M. 5. Spedalieri J.	32. Cangiano G. 21. Capone A. 28. De Marco A. 5. Di Pasquale D. 1. Gasparini M. (G) 20. Meazzi L. 23. Pellacani F. 18. Pierno R. 19. Sasanelli L. 25. Staver C. 9. Vergani E. 40. Zandri T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Merola D. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Merola D. ⚽,
42', Giandonato M. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Franchini S. ⚽,
45+2', Petrungaro L. 🟨,
45+2', Franchini S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fort F. ↓, Spedalieri J. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Milani L. ⚽,
52', Franchini S. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
55', Niang O. 🟨,
57', Carosso A. 🟥,
62', Malaccari N. ↓, Pistolesi F. ↑,
62', Merola D. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
65', Floriani R. 🟨,
73', Sorrentino L. ↓, Giovinco G. ↑,
73', Cuppone L. ↓, Sasanelli L. ↑,
73', Tunjov G. ↓, Capone A. ↑,
85', Niang O. ↓, Condello S. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Giandonato M. ⚽,
89', Paponi D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Fermana is Serie C ~ Group A

Pescara is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
21.04.24	Juventus U23 - Fermana	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Fermana - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Sassari Torres - Fermana	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Fermana - Rimini	3:2 ✺
24.03.24	Arezzo - Fermana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LWWWL
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
21.04.24	Pescara - Ancona	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Olbia - Pescara	0:3 ✺
08.04.24	Pescara - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Cesena - Pescara	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Pescara - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.23	Pescara - Fermana	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Pescara - Fermana	6:1
Italian Serie C Group B
20.02.22	Fermana - Pescara	1:1
16.10.21	Pescara - Fermana	2:1
Club Friendly
07.08.14	Fermana - Pescara	0:2

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