Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 34

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Rimini

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.6	3.3	2
	3.86	3.16	2.04
	3.86	3.16	2.05
	3.6	3.25	1.91
	3.7	3.28	1.92
	3.45	3.25	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.15)	3.23 ↑ (3.02)	1.98 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
25.2%

Draw
28.4%

Rimini
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

30.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.5%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Rimini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rimini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Fermana - Rimini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borghetto N. (G) 14. Heinz J. 15. Santi P. 36. Carosso A. 28. Niang O. 8. Scorza C. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 26. Misuraca G. 30. Petrungaro L. 11. Paponi D. 9. Sorrentino L.	91. Colombi S. (C) 84. Tofanari N. 15. Gigli N. 98. Lepri T. 3. Quacquarelli G. 28. Sala J. 33. Langella C. 73. Lamesta D. 8. Delcarro A. 31. Malagrida L. 9. Morra C.
Substitutes
13. Bonfigli L. 31. Cicero M. 17. Condello S. 25. de Santis I. F. 6. Fort F. 22. Furlanetto A. (G) 24. Gianelli J. 10. Giovinco G. 27. Granatelli M. 34. Locanto G. 19. Marcandella D. 90. Petrelli E. 3. Pistolesi F. 5. Spedalieri J.	7. Capanni G. 11. Cernigoi I. 22. Colombo E. (G) 27. De Lucci P. (G) 80. Garetto M. 6. Gorelli M. 44. Iacoponi D. 70. Leoncini M. 20. Oddi R. 34. Ubaldi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Sorrentino L. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Gigli N. ⚽,
20', Langella C. ↓, Garetto M. ↑,
21', Niang O. 🟨,
24', Morra C. 🟨,
24', Santi P. 🟨,
27', 1 - 2, Garetto M. ⚽,
28', Scorza C. 🟨,
40', 2 - 2, Giandonato M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', Paponi D. ↓, Giovinco G. ↑,
68', Giandonato M. ↓, Gianelli J. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Sorrentino L. ⚽,
72', Sorrentino L. 🟨,
76', Gigli N. ↓, Oddi R. ↑,
76', Malagrida L. ↓, Capanni G. ↑,
76', Delcarro A. ↓, Cernigoi I. ↑,
77', Niang O. ↓, Spedalieri J. ↑,
77', Petrungaro L. ↓, Pistolesi F. ↑,
80', Garetto M. 🟨,
82', Morra C. ↓, Ubaldi L. ↑,
83', Misuraca G. 🟨,
88', Sorrentino L. ↓, Fort F. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fermana won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Rimini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rimini will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fermana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
24.03.24	Arezzo - Fermana	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Fermana - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Fermana - Pineto	1:1 ✺
05.03.24	Ancona - Fermana	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Fermana - Olbia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLT
- Rimini FC
Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.24	Rimini - Pescara	5:1 ✺
10.03.24	SPAL - Rimini	3:1 ✺
06.03.24	Rimini - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Lucchese - Rimini	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.02.24	Catania - Rimini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Rimini - Fermana	1:0
26.02.23	Fermana - Rimini	1:2
23.10.22	Rimini - Fermana	2:2
27.10.19	Rimini - Fermana	0:1
10.03.19	Fermana - Rimini	1:0
11.11.18	Rimini - Fermana	2:0

Fermana - Rimini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide