Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Lucchese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.47	3.42	2.06
	3.47	3.42	2.07
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.49	3.21	2.05
	3.45	3.2	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	3.28 ↑ (3.09)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
26.6%

Draw
28%

Lucchese
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

29%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-3%)

Fermana - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borghetto N. (G) 36. Carosso A. 6. Fort F. 20. Giandonato M. 14. Heinz J. 21. Malaccari N. 26. Misuraca G. 11. Paponi D. 15. Santi P. 8. Scorza C. 9. Sorrentino L.	22. Chiorra N. (G) 23. Benassai F. 11. Disanto F. 27. Gucher R. 14. Quirini E. 7. Rizzo Pinna A. 21. Sabbione A. 6. Tiritiello A. 8. Tumbarello G. 72. Visconti E. 45. Yeboah P.
Substitutes
13. Bonfigli L. 31. Cicero M. 17. Condello S. 25. de Santis I. F. 2. Eleuteri A. 22. Furlanetto A. (G) 24. Gianelli J. 10. Giovinco G. 34. Locanto G. 19. Marcandella D. 28. Niang O. 30. Petrungaro L. 3. Pistolesi F. 70. Semprini M. 5. Spedalieri J.	2. Alagna M. 16. Astrologo A. 12. Berti F. (G) 1. Coletta J. (G) 17. Djibril M. 20. Fazzi N. 10. Fedato F. 99. Magnaghi S. 47. Ndiaye B. 3. Perotta N. 19. Russo F. 4. Toma R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Yeboah P. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Paponi D. ⚽,
41', Rizzo Pinna A. 🟨,
43', Heinz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Santi P. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
64', Tumbarello G. 🟨,
66', Tumbarello G. ↓, Astrologo A. ↑,
71', Giandonato M. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
71', Paponi D. ↓, Giovinco G. ↑,
71', Disanto F. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
71', Malaccari N. ↓, Pistolesi F. ↑,
84', Carosso A. ↓, Spedalieri J. ↑,
88', Quirini E. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
88', Yeboah P. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
88', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lucchese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fermana won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
07.04.24	Sassari Torres - Fermana	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Fermana - Rimini	3:2 ✺
24.03.24	Arezzo - Fermana	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Fermana - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Fermana - Pineto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWLTT
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
08.04.24	Lucchese - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
28.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	1:3 ✺
24.03.24	Lucchese - Cesena	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Lucchese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.23	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0
26.03.23	Lucchese - Fermana	1:1
26.11.22	Fermana - Lucchese	1:0
27.02.22	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0
19.10.21	Fermana - Lucchese	0:0

Fermana - Lucchese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide