Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 27

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	SPAL		Rimini

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	2.56	3.1	2.92
				Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.75
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.66)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	2.81 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
36.9%

Draw
30.6%

Rimini
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Rimini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

SPAL - Rimini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 6. Fiordaliso A. 29. Nador S. 26. Bassoli A. 19. Mignanelli D. 15. Haoudi H. 10. Radrezza I. 20. Zammarini R. 27. Parigini V. 7. Antenucci M. (C) 40. Spini C.	91. Colombi S. (G) 98. Lepri T. 4. Bellodi G. 23. Megelaitis L. 46. Cinquegrano S. 10. Malagrida L. 33. Langella C. 80. Garetto M. 28. Longobardi G. 11. Gagliano L. 7. Leonardi S.
Substitutes
23. Arena M. 3. Bruscagin M. 28. Calapai L. 17. Iglio G. 90. Kane L. 9. Karlsson O. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 99. Nina C. 18. Ntenda J. 11. Rao E. 34. Stagni T. (G)	77. Cioffi A. 18. Conti F. 30. De Vitis A. 32. Ferretti L. (G) 5. Fiorini M. 12. Generali 6. Gorelli M. 25. Lombardi A. 97. Parigi G. 21. Piccoli M. 34. Ubaldi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Gagliano L. ⚽,
28', Malagrida L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Spini C. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
46', Malagrida L. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
46', Leonardi S. ↓, Parigi G. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Parigi G. ⚽,
54', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
57', Gagliano L. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
58', Mignanelli D. 🟨,
58', Zammarini R. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
73', Parigini V. ↓, Ntenda J. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Longobardi G. ⚽,
82', Radrezza I. 🟨,
82', Colombi S. 🟨,
83', Colombi S. ↓, Ferretti L. ↑,
87', Longobardi G. ↓, Gorelli M. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4.

SPAL is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rimini is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rimini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches SPAL won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
09.02.25	Virtus Entella - SPAL	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	SPAL - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Carpi - SPAL	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Lucchese - SPAL	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTW
- Rimini FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.02.25	Rimini - Trapani	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.25	Rimini - Ascoli	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Rimini - Perugia	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Milan Futuro - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Trapani - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.24	Rimini - SPAL	0:1
10.03.24	SPAL - Rimini	3:1
06.11.23	Rimini - SPAL	1:0
Club Friendly
05.09.21	SPAL - Rimini	6:2
Italian Serie C Group B
23.01.16	SPAL - Rimini	1:0
13.09.15	Rimini - SPAL	0:1
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
09.03.14	SPAL - Rimini	2:0

SPAL - Rimini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide