Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 31

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.33	3	2.38
	3.33	2.96	2.38
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.1	3	2.27
	3.1	2.95	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	2.99 (2.99)	2.29 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
29.2%

Draw
30.8%

Pineto
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

30.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

30.1%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Fermana - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borghetto N. (G) 3. Pistolesi F. 6. Fort F. 14. Heinz J. 30. Petrungaro L. 24. Gianelli J. 8. Scorza C. (C) 28. Niang O. 15. Santi P. 90. Petrelli E. 9. Sorrentino L.	22. Tonti A. (G) 19. Borsoi M. 28. Ingrosso G. 30. Villa L. 27. Baggi F. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 10. Sannipoli D. 7. Volpicelli E. 29. Chakir A. 11. Njambe M.
Substitutes
13. Bonfigli L. 17. Condello S. 25. de Santis I. F. 22. Furlanetto A. (G) 20. Giandonato M. 10. Giovinco G. 27. Granatelli M. 34. Locanto G. 12. Mancini A. (G) 19. Marcandella D. 11. Paponi D.	6. Amadio S. 20. Della Quercia R. 23. De Santis S. 24. Evangelisti N. 77. Foglia M. 9. Gambale D. 82. Iaccarino P. 32. Macario G. 17. Manu D. 14. Marafini A. 1. Mercorelli S. (G) 99. Pellegrino A. 39. Tavoni F. (G) 70. Teraschi M. 66. Traini D.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Fermana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pineto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pineto will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fermana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.24	Ancona - Fermana	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Fermana - Olbia	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Virtus Entella - Fermana	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Fermana - SPAL	1:1 ✺
14.02.24	Perugia - Fermana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTTL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.24	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
01.03.24	Pineto - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cesena - Pineto	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Pineto - Olbia	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Pontedera - Pineto	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.11.23	Pineto - Fermana	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.04.17	Pineto - Fermana	1:2
27.11.16	Fermana - Pineto	3:0

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