Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 30

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Fernando de la Mora		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.85	2.4
	2.82	2.92	2.42
	3.41	3.45	1.9
	10.18	4.61	1.32	Watch
	2.91	2.88	2.45
	2.8	2.9	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.05)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	2.15 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fernando de la Mora
23.8%

Draw
30.3%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

28.3%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fernando de la Mora's form might have worsened.

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Barrios J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 2, Barrios J. ⚽,
72', 🟥,
76', 0 - 3, Villamayor H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fernando de la Mora won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fernando de la Mora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sportivo San Lorenzo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fernando de la Mora won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fernando de la Mora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.09.25	Encarnación - Fernando de la Mora	1:1 ✺
22.09.25	Fernando de la Mora - 12 de Junio	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Fernando de la Mora	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Fernando de la Mora - Guarani de Fram	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
03.09.25	Fernando de la Mora - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLWL
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.09.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	Encarnación - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	12 de Junio - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
03.09.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Tacuary	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.06.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	1:0
20.09.24	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0
16.06.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	2:2
13.08.23	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0
07.05.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	1:2
25.08.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	1:3
20.05.22	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2

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