The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo San Lorenzo 15%
Draw 21.6%
Libertad Asuncion 63.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
14.4%
21.7%
63.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.9%
20.9%
66.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 12th and 3rd).
Recent results have been tough for Sportivo San Lorenzo (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Libertad has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sportivo San Lorenzo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Libertad as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo San Lorenzo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:17 (averaging 0.4:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo San Lorenzo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:11 goals (averaging 0.7:3.7 per game).
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