Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Ferreira de Aves		Leça

	1	X	2
	10.5	4.5	1.27
	8.5	4.5	1.25
	8.2	4.5	1.31
	10.41	4.56	1.34
	8.7	4.65	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.26 ↑ (7.3)	4.54 ↑ (4.5)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferreira de Aves
9.8%

Draw
20%

Leça
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

20.1%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

10.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferreira de Aves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferreira de Aves than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferreira de Aves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-33.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leça, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferreira de Aves - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Ferreira de Aves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leça is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leça could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leça is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferreira de Aves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CR Ferreira de Aves
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.22	SC Espinho - Ferreira de Aves	0:0 ✺
29.01.22	Ferreira de Aves - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	União de Coimbra - Ferreira de Aves	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Ferreira de Aves - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	1:0 ✺
09.01.22	Ferreira de Aves - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 TWTWL
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.02.22	Leça - Valadares Gaia	3:2 ✺
29.01.22	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	4:2 ✺
23.01.22	Leça - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Castro Daire - Leça	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.22	Leça - Sporting Lisbon	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.11.21	Leça - Ferreira de Aves	6:0

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