Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 13

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Castro Daire		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.3	2.95	2.05
	2.65	2.9	2.6
	2.95	3.29	2.33
	3.06	3.18	2.25
	3.05	3.2	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.02)	3.1 (3.1)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro Daire
30.4%

Draw
29.3%

Leça
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

29.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leça than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Castro Daire - Leça Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Castro Daire will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Leça will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Castro Daire is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leça is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castro Daire won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Castro Daire won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.03.23	Marítimo B - Castro Daire	5:1 ✺
12.03.23	Castro Daire - Guarda Desportiva	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Castro Daire - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Salgueiros 08 - Castro Daire	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTT
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.03.23	Guarda Desportiva - Leça	1:5 ✺
12.03.23	Leça - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Gondomar - Leça	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Leça - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Rebordosa - Leça	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.22	Castro Daire - Leça	2:0
03.10.21	Leça - Castro Daire	0:1
19.01.20	Leça - Castro Daire	0:1

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