The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferreira de Aves 18.3%
Draw 27.2%
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.1%
28.7%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
18.8%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferreira de Aves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferreira de Aves than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferreira de Aves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz de Alvarenga than the current prediction. (-20.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Cruz de Alvarenga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Ferreira de Aves has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alvarenga is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alvarenga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.