Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	5.5
	1.66	3.25	5.25
	1.72	3.1	5.1	Watch
	1.76	3.17	6.2
	1.67	3.4	5.81	Watch
	1.74	3	6.1
	1.74	3.21	5.52	Watch
	1.72	3.15	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)	3.19 ↓ (3.34)	5.56 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
54.2%

Draw
29.1%

Ciudad de Bolívar
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

28%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

27.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Ferro Carril Oeste - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Orellana J. 6. Canto G. 3. Ozuna E. 5. Obradovich F. 8. Kabalin M. 10. Hoyos E. 11. Dening E. 7. Gonzalez A. 9. Parisi L.	1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 2. Navarro E. 6. Martinez E. 3. Peralta F. 11. Diaz A. 5. Quintana B. 8. Yeri N. 7. Sanchez G. 9. Caraballo K. 10. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
16. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 17. Garcia S. 15. Gomez N. 18. Marra L. 19. Menendez J. 20. Reniero N. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 13. Taron M.	13. Carrion A. 14. Fernandez T. 16. Gridel M. 15. Guiacobini T. 18. Gutierrez M. 19. Ilarregui F. 20. Maciel J. 17. Mucignat F. 12. Ruiz L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Paredes A. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Dening E. ⚽, Hoyos E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Hoyos E. 🟨,
62', Caraballo K. 🟨,
77', Guiacobini T. 🟨,
80', Yeri N. 🟨,
90+1', Yeri N. 🟥,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 8th in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

Ferro Carril has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ciudad de Bolívar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ciudad de Bolívar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ferro Carril carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ferro Carril has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.09.26	Almirante Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Mitre	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:2 ✺
24.08.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - All Boys	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTWW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.09.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Madryn - Ciudad de Bolívar	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:4

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