Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Mitre

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.3	6.5	Watch
	1.78	3.10	4.75
	1.7	3	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.61	6.71
	1.59	3.57	6.47	Watch
	1.56	3.5	6.5
	1.56	3.35	6.25	Watch
	1.57	3.35	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)	3.35 ↑ (3)	6.11 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
57.3%

Draw
27.6%

Mitre
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

30.2%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

29.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Corda S. 2. Tevez F. 6. Canto G. 3. Ozuna E. 8. Kabalin M. 5. Olguin G. 11. Marra L. 10. Hoyos E. 7. Gonzalez A. 9. Parisi L.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Mieres B. 2. Cabral Y. 6. Abello D. 3. Ferrari F. 8. Vazquez M. 5. Alessandroni J. 10. Avaro E. 11. Maldonado M. 7. Mendoza L. 9. Machado M.
Substitutes
16. Castellani G. 20. Dening E. 17. Esidin T. 15. Gomez N. 19. Menendez J. 14. Nazareno K. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 13. Taron M. 18. Uriel P.	15. Ferrari M. 16. Garrido O. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Lopez A. 18. Ramirez A. 14. Rodriguez S. 13. Romero M. 19. Valdivia G. 20. Zarate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Olguin G. 🟨,
28', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
41', Cabral Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ferrari F. 🟨,
60', Maldonado M. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
62', Kabalin M. ↓, Dening E. ↑,
64', Abello D. 🟨,
70', Marra L. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
78', Mendoza L. ↓, Valdivia G. ↑,
80', Ozuna E. ↓, Nazareno K. ↑,
80', Garcia F. ↓, Esidin T. ↑,
80', Hoyos E. ↓, Uriel P. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 4.

Ferro Carril is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Mitre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ferro Carril is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 1.3:0.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:2 ✺
24.08.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - All Boys	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Los Andes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Godoy Cruz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.26	Mitre - Central Norte	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - Mitre	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mitre - Güemes	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Mitre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1
04.09.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Mitre	3:0
23.04.23	Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:2
19.03.22	Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1
01.03.20	Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1
08.09.19	Ferro Carril Oeste - Mitre	0:0
03.03.19	Ferro Carril Oeste - Mitre	2:0

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